« With 225k ballots cast, Newt Gingrich could still torch Mitt Romney's early-vote 'firewall' | Main | AFSCME labor union ad morphs Mitt Romney into Rick Scott. Does FL care? »

InsiderAdvantage poll: Gingrich leads Romney 34-26 in Florida. But PPP could find closer race

Atlanta-based InsiderAdvantage announced last night that it surveyed 557 registered Republican voters Sunday night and found that Newt Gingrich is leading Mitt Romney by 8 percentage points.The results:

Newt Gingrich: 34%

Mitt Romney: 26%

Ron Paul: 13%

Rick Santorum: 11%

Other: 2%

No opinion: 14%

Some in the polling world, such as the New York Times Five Thirty Eight blog, have questioned InsiderAdvantage for having "pro-Gingrich" results. Indeed it did. Insider/Advantage was one of the first to show Gingrich leading by double-digits last week in South Carolina while CNN and NBC's polls had Gingrich losing. Gingrich won by double digits.

It should be noted, as we almost always do, that InsiderAdvantage's founder, Matt Towery, worked for Gingrich in the U.S. House. But over the years, Towery has frequently criticized Gingrich to us and, early in the race, he thought Gingrich had "no prayer."

One difference between InsiderAdvantage and the larger polls is that IA uses pre-recorded vote-by-touchpad 'robo-polling' to conduct its surveys and it tries to do them in one day. The others use live callers and often take place over two to three days.

So far, robo-polling seems pretty accurate. Polls will differ, and Public Policy Polling (a robo-polling firm which released a drop-dead poll before South Carolina that had some spot-on results) tweeted last night that, of about 600 Republicans surveyed in Florida, it could only find a 2-person vote difference betwee Romney and Gingrich. So its poll, which will also survey early/absentee voters could have a closer result.

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

 Mr twenty five percent is back

It must be noted that Insider Advantage in its initial polling, had Gingrich up by +3 (32-29) in SC, and Gingrich ended up winning by +12.

+8 right now for Gingrich in FL.

FoundTheTruth

If Gingrich wins, we can kiss this election goodbye.

 Mr twenty five percent is back

If RINO Romney wins, we can kiss this election goodbye.

RINOs like Ford, Dole, Bush Sr. (who used up Reagan's coattails) and McCain, don't do well in general elections.

Rasmussen has Gingrich up +9 (41-32) over Romney.

John Totten

THIS Republican Party has never elected a President. Except for Reagan, who they laud only by ignoring what he did, all of the other Republicans elected since WW II are RINOs.

Donna

If Gingrich wins,we gonna have a solid,conservative country again. And in time they will be referring to Newt as one of the greatest presidents just like Reagan.. He is tough enough to take all the slander that his own republican party has relentlessly hurled at him. Along with phony polls and media that should be ashamed to be called Americans.. God please remember Newt and bless him

Patrick


This is what Democrats have in store for you and your health care...I'm mean Mitt RomneyCare.

http://www.doctorzebra.com/prez/z_x28teeth_g.htm

The comments to this entry are closed.